US Recession Odds Slide in Betting Markets on US-China Trade Deal - Business Insider

- Betting markets have adjusted to lower odds of a recession this year after progress on US-China trade talks. - The chance of an economic downturn fell to 40% after news that the US and China would lower tariffs for 90 days. https://www.businessinsider.com/us-china-trade-deal-tariffs-trump-polymarket-kalshi-recession-outlook-2025-5